What the evidence says.
We read 76 news sources so you don't have to. When they disagree, we show you who's saying what — and what the evidence actually supports.
76 sources · 10 regions · Updated twice daily
Last updated April 09, 2026 at 08:50 UTC
What the Evidence Points To
Our strongest evidence-based assessments on current events
How would a prolonged Iran conflict affect global oil prices and fuel costs?
No clear answer yet
US and Israel strike IranCould blocking the Strait of Hormuz actually spike global oil and gas prices?
Evidence is split — Strait blockade would cause severe oil price spike leads slightly
Iran talks stall over war demandsDid the US-Israel strikes prevent Iran's nuclear threat, or trigger broader regional war?
Evidence is split — Conflict was inevitable; strikes didn't prevent or trigger war leads slightly
Iran's Nuclear Program Survives WarWhat does Iran actually want from these negotiations—a nuclear deal, regional dominance, or U.S. withdrawal?
Evidence is split — Iran pursuing all three goals simultaneously leads slightly
Iran talks stall over war demandsWill the US and Israel stay unified in their war aims, or drift apart?
Evidence is split — US seeks settlements; Israel demands regime change leads slightly
Hezbollah attacks after Iran leader killedWhat does Israel actually want—to crush Hezbollah or to occupy southern Lebanon?
No clear answer yet
Netanyahu faces pressures as Israel fights IranDoes Netanyahu's legal trouble strengthen or weaken his war grip?
No clear answer yet
Russia and Iran deepen military tiesIs Russia genuinely mediating between the US and Iran, or using the conflict to weaken NATO support for Ukraine?
No clear answer yet
What Changed This Week
How the evidence shifted
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "New AG won't solve Trump's prosecution problem" possible
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Courts are losing independence to political pressure" unlikely
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Court troubles stay confined to Central Europe" possible
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Courts are maintaining independence despite political noise" unlikely
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Turkey inflation stalls around 25% by year-end" possible
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "It's a mix of demand, supply, and policy factors" possible
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Renewables will complement but not replace fossil fuels on schedule" unlikely
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "China can manage Middle East cutoff with reserves and alternatives" possible
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "China is genuinely diversifying away from Russian oil" very unlikely
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Strait of Hormuz carries minimal China oil—under 10% of energy" likely
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Military purges are disguised power consolidation" likely
- Apr 8 New evidence makes "Reshuffles prioritize centralized control over command effectiveness" very unlikely
The Big Questions
Questions where the evidence is genuinely split
How would a prolonged Iran conflict affect global oil prices and fuel costs?
No clear answer yet
Iran crisis divides Trump and RepublicansCould blocking the Strait of Hormuz actually spike global oil and gas prices?
Evidence is split — Strait blockade would cause severe oil price spike leads slightly
US and Israel strike IranDid the US-Israel strikes prevent Iran's nuclear threat, or trigger broader regional war?
Evidence is split — Conflict was inevitable; strikes didn't prevent or trigger war leads slightly
Iran talks stall over war demandsWhat does Iran actually want from these negotiations—a nuclear deal, regional dominance, or U.S. withdrawal?
Evidence is split — Iran pursuing all three goals simultaneously leads slightly
Iran's Nuclear Program Survives WarWill the US and Israel stay unified in their war aims, or drift apart?
Evidence is split — US seeks settlements; Israel demands regime change leads slightly
Iran talks stall over war demandsHow this works
We monitor 76 sources across 10 regions. Every claim is extracted, cross-referenced against other sources, and scored against competing explanations. No editorial judgment. No opinion. When sources disagree, we show you the disagreement — and let you decide.
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146 events tracked